Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.658661 0.765500 0.881461 1.016332 1.168521 1.334570 1.529070
2025-01-05 0.477121 0.618885 0.787149 1.000034 1.260491 1.566970 1.952927
2025-01-12 0.362353 0.516700 0.714339 0.982421 1.332514 1.769737 2.351966
2025-01-19 0.286945 0.444839 0.660825 0.971691 1.400352 1.962421 2.745306
2025-01-26 0.241303 0.402691 0.636527 0.990577 1.501606 2.199208 3.207134
2025-02-02 0.204709 0.365882 0.612096 1.002386 1.589137 2.418976 3.656772
2025-02-09 0.174518 0.332932 0.587272 1.007929 1.664285 2.622693 4.093499
2025-02-16 0.154109 0.312104 0.577479 1.033384 1.768494 2.872289 4.608464
2025-02-23 0.134327 0.288635 0.559549 1.042410 1.845857 3.084613 5.078729
2025-03-02 0.111106 0.254478 0.518366 1.007283 1.847874 3.179742 5.375135
2025-03-09 0.100194 0.242106 0.513751 1.033287 1.950556 3.436149 5.931671
2025-03-16 0.089839 0.228951 0.505723 1.051704 2.040686 3.676419 6.474028
2025-03-23 0.084712 0.226458 0.518338 1.110048 2.206133 4.052345 7.259314
2025-03-30 0.073635 0.208668 0.498522 1.105610 2.260424 4.247703 7.762939
2025-04-06 0.063204 0.190224 0.474705 1.090498 2.293375 4.407873 8.215693
2025-04-13 0.054693 0.174636 0.454579 1.080034 2.333032 4.580327 8.695860
2025-04-20 0.049588 0.166770 0.450259 1.101114 2.433385 4.863868 9.378330
2025-04-27 0.044552 0.158005 0.442624 1.114172 2.518587 5.124173 10.031783
2025-05-04 0.039711 0.148699 0.432369 1.120281 2.589957 5.362413 10.656471
2025-05-11 0.036582 0.143791 0.432070 1.148158 2.706713 5.689503 11.452913
2025-05-18 0.032898 0.136298 0.424239 1.158042 2.786845 5.951703 12.143108
2025-05-25 0.027580 0.122068 0.396877 1.119592 2.762665 6.014411 12.471456
2025-06-01 0.025564 0.118617 0.397708 1.148058 2.882630 6.359356 13.334509